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Higher partial moment uncertainty in portfolio allocation and asset pricing

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Higher partial moment uncertainty in portfolio allocation and asset pricing

Newton, David (2003) Higher partial moment uncertainty in portfolio allocation and asset pricing. Masters thesis, Concordia University.

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Abstract

This study considers the influence of relaxing the widely held assumption that investors operate according to monotonically declining marginal utility as proposed by Bernoulli in 1738. The analysis is conducted by examining the assumption change has on the performance of optimal portfolio theory, the accuracy of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), and the magnitude of the equity risk premium puzzle. The data used includes the Ibbotson monthly frequency series used by Mehra and Prescott (1984) as well as the CRSP real return series for the SP500 companies that survived on the index through the 1990's. Although the study is preliminary, it suggests that investors do indeed behave in a manner unlike Bernoulli's solution. The suggested value function of Kahneman and Tversky (1979) appears to minimize the magnitude of the premium puzzle, produces a portfolio process that offers significantly positive ex ante return for risk borne and also allows for the theoretical existence of a two-beta CAPM that better predicts asset returns. Conclusions indicate that there are both empirical and theoretical failings with the Bernoulli solution and that further refinement and study of investor utility functions may result in derived models that are superior both in estimating positive investor behavior and in prescribing normative investor behavior.

Divisions:Concordia University > John Molson School of Business
Item Type:Thesis (Masters)
Authors:Newton, David
Pagination:vi, 104 leaves : ill. ; 29 cm.
Institution:Concordia University
Degree Name:M. Sc.
Program:Administration
Date:2003
Thesis Supervisor(s):Kryzanowski, Lawrence D
Identification Number:HG 4529 N493 2003
ID Code:2107
Deposited By: Concordia University Library
Deposited On:27 Aug 2009 17:25
Last Modified:21 Oct 2022 13:01
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