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From Sentiment to Sale: The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Multi-Family Real Estate Investments in Canada

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From Sentiment to Sale: The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Multi-Family Real Estate Investments in Canada

Spina, Michael (2024) From Sentiment to Sale: The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Multi-Family Real Estate Investments in Canada. Masters thesis, Concordia University.

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Abstract

This paper explores the investment appetite for multi-family dwellings in the greater metropolitan areas of Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Toronto, and Montréal from 2015 to 2023. The study uses macroeconomic variables and a sentiment index built from Google Trends to analyze sale volumes of developers, individuals, institutional investors, and private corporations. The results of the study indicate that both developers and institutional investors are susceptible to the economic conditions and market sentiment when making decisions to securitize their investments. Conversely, individuals and private corporations respond inversely to periods of high or low volatility, with higher or lower transaction volumes, respectively, possibly with the strategic intent of purchasing properties at a discount. Additionally, the analysis reveals that increasing the money supply in Canada consistently correlates with increased investment volumes across all investor types. In contrast, periods of negative sentiment are consistently associated with lower investments.

Divisions:Concordia University > John Molson School of Business > Finance
Item Type:Thesis (Masters)
Authors:Spina, Michael
Institution:Concordia University
Degree Name:M. Sc.
Program:Finance
Date:21 February 2024
Thesis Supervisor(s):Walker, Thomas
ID Code:993694
Deposited By: Michael Spina
Deposited On:05 Jun 2024 15:38
Last Modified:05 Jun 2024 15:38
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