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The Certification Effect: Stamp of Approval or Just Another Anomaly?

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The Certification Effect: Stamp of Approval or Just Another Anomaly?

Sakr, Jason (2024) The Certification Effect: Stamp of Approval or Just Another Anomaly? Masters thesis, Concordia University.

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Abstract

The relation between analyst publications and their effects on the underlying stocks is a well-researched field of finance. However, none go so far as to identify the fundamental effect of a firm receiving its first recommendation from an analyst beyond standard recommendation
effects. We examine a sample of 6168 analyst initiation of coverage events, separated into a positive subsample and negative subsample to determine the abnormal returns generated in the two days after, one-month after, and one year after event windows using an event study methodology. In addition, we compare these abnormal returns to those generated by a respective control subsample of mid-caps to calculate the certification effect. Finally, we study the relationship the different event window certification effects have with firm-level variables. We
find that the abnormal returns generated by the small-caps are consistently different than those generated by the respective control subsample of mid-caps, and that the certification effects are
significantly non-zero values. We also find that the short certification effect has no relationship with firm level variables, while mid and long certification effects have a relationship with Board Size. We fail to establish a relationship between the mid and long certification effects and the change of stock volatility of the underlying firm. We conclude that while the certification effect does exist in the short-term, its effect is lost in the long-term as new events take place and confound the results.

Divisions:Concordia University > John Molson School of Business > Finance
Item Type:Thesis (Masters)
Authors:Sakr, Jason
Institution:Concordia University
Degree Name:M. Sc.
Program:Finance
Date:10 July 2024
Thesis Supervisor(s):Schweizer, Denis and Proelss, Juliane
ID Code:994187
Deposited By: Jason Sakr
Deposited On:24 Oct 2024 17:25
Last Modified:24 Oct 2024 17:25
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